Andy Reid and the Kansas City Chiefs will face Nick Sirianni and the Philadelphia Eagles on Sunday in Super Bowl 57 in Glendale, Arizona. Reid has a 3-0 record against the Eagles after being head coach at Philadelphia for over a decade. He will become the fifth coach in NFL history to face a former team in the Super Bowl, and the Chiefs are 16-3 overall after seven straight wins. The Eagles are also 16-3 this season, including 16 wins in 17 games with star quarterback Jalen Hurts at center. The 2023 Super Bowl will be one of the most heavily wagered events of the entire year.
Kickoff at State Farm Stadium in Glendale, Arizona is scheduled for 6:30 pm ET. Philadelphia is a 1.5 point favorite in the latest Eagles vs. Proven SportsLine projection model.
The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is over $7,000 for $100 players in the NFL’s top-rated picks since its inception. The model enters the 2023 Super Bowl on an incredible 163-113 run on NFL top picks going back to the 2017 season. He’s also been on a 17-6 list of NFL picks since Week 7 of this season and identified both the Eagles and Chiefs as their value Super Bowl picks heading into the 2023 NFL playoffs.
The model has ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the last six years in straight NFL picks and has beaten more than 94% of CBS Sports Football Pick’em players four times during that time. Anyone who has already followed is right above.
Now, the model has its eyes on Eagles vs. Chiefs in Super Bowl 57. You can visit SportsLine now to see the picks. Here are Caesars Sportsbook NFL odds and trends for Chiefs vs. Eagles:
- Eagles v Chiefs spread: Philadelphia -1.5
- Eagles v Chiefs over/under: 51 points
- Money Line Eagles vs. Chiefs: Philadelphia -125, Kansas City +105
- PHI: Eagles are 7-2 against the spread in their last nine playoff games
- KC: Chiefs covered in their last three meetings with Philadelphia
- Eagles v Chiefs picks: see the picks here
Why the Eagles Can Cover
Philadelphia’s passing rush will be key in Super Bowl 2023, as the Eagles top the NFL in rate of pressure, sacks and overall ability to confuse opposing quarterbacks. Against Patrick Mahomes, the Eagles will need to make every effort, but on the offensive end, Philadelphia is also fully capable of winning a penalty shootout if necessary. The Eagles are in the top five in offensive scoring (28.1 points per game), scoring percentage (42.5% of possessions), points per possession (2.50), total yards (389.1 per game), turnover avoidance (19 concessions), first downs (385), third down efficiency (45.9%), fourth down efficiency (68.8%) and red zone efficiency (67.8%) this season.
The Eagles also set a new NFL record for rushing touchdowns, generating 39 field scores between the regular season and the playoffs. That includes seven rushing touchdowns in two playoff games, and Philadelphia is the fourth team in NFL history to record five 300-yard passing games and five 200-yard passing games in one season. The Eagles produced over 2,500 rushing yards during the regular season, a top-five mark, and Philadelphia became just the third team to reach at least 4,000 passing yards and 2,500 rushing yards in a regular season. See which team to choose here.
Why the Chiefs can cover
Patrick Mahomes is the MVP favorite this season and remains arguably the most dynamic and explosive player in the NFL this season. Mahomes is the biggest reason Kansas City leads the league in passing, with Kansas City producing nearly 300 yards per game, 41 touchdown passes and 7.5 yards per pass attempt. The Chiefs also lead the NFL in scoring, averaging more than 29 points per game, and are scoring 2.71 points per possession, generating points on more than 46% of shots.
The Chiefs are top of the league in first downs, EPA per play and yards per play, with the highest total yards (413.6 per game) of any team in the NFL this season. Andy Reid is a wizard at designing an effective offense, and the Chiefs are effective at moving chains. That adds up to a league-leading first-down total, with the Chiefs ranked in the top three in third-down efficiency (48.7%) and fourth-down efficiency (75%) this season. See which team to choose here.
How to make picks Eagles vs. chiefs
SportsLine’s model is below the total, asking for a combined 49 points. The model also says that one side of the spread discounts in more than 50% of the simulations. You can only see model choices on SportsLine.
So who wins Chiefs vs. Eagles in Super Bowl 57? And which side of the spread wins more than 50% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Chiefs vs. Eagles will spread out in the 2023 Super Bowl, everything from the advanced model that is over $7,000 in their highest rated NFL picks and find out.
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